What player props would you recommend for the Super Bowl?
Super Bowl Player Props (Week 22, 2025 Season)
For Super Bowl LX — New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks (neutral site: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara) — these are the strongest prop angles based on the available Super Bowl player-prop model set.
Top Recommended Props
| Rank | Player | Team | Prop | Confidence | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kenneth Walker III | SEA | Rush Yards Over 40.5 | HIGH | 69.8% |
| 2 | Stefon Diggs | NE | Receptions Over 3.5 | HIGH | 68.6% |
| 3 | Stefon Diggs | NE | Receiving Yards Over 40.5 | HIGH | 64.3% |
| 4 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | Receiving Yards Over 75.5 | HIGH | 63.9% |
| 5 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | Receptions Over 5.5 | HIGH | 62.8% |
Secondary Props (Playable, but Lower Edge)
| Player | Team | Prop | Confidence | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | Rush Yards Over 40.5 | MEDIUM | 59.3% |
| Drake Maye | NE | Pass Yards Over 200.5 | MEDIUM | 57.7% |
| Sam Darnold | SEA | Pass Yards Over 200.5 | MEDIUM | 55.3% |
Anytime TD Leans (Higher Variance)
| Player | Team | Prop | Confidence | TD Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | Anytime TD | MEDIUM | 41.1% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | Anytime TD | MEDIUM | 40.9% |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | Anytime TD | MEDIUM | 39.3% |
Best Bets (If You Want a Tight Shortlist)
- Kenneth Walker III over 40.5 rush yards — best blend of floor + probability
- Stefon Diggs over 3.5 receptions — volume-friendly line
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 5.5 receptions — high-usage style prop
Quick Recommendation
If you’re building a small card, prioritize yardage/reception overs (more stable) and treat anytime TDs as smaller, higher-variance adds.
If you tell me your sportsbook (or the exact lines you’re seeing), I can adjust this to the best numbers available and flag any lines that are no longer worth playing.