Assessment of the Statement

Your core claim is:

“Josh Allen is not better than Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes”
and your rebuttal is that Allen scores touchdowns at the highest rate, so he should be considered the best.

There’s a strong argument here, but it also overreaches.

What Your Numbers Show

Based on the touchdown-per-game figures you listed, Josh Allen has clearly been the most consistent touchdown producer of the three over the last five seasons.

Key Takeaways

• Allen led in 3 of the 5 seasons
• Allen has the highest 5-year average
• Allen outpaces Mahomes and Jackson in raw TD production per game over this span
• If the debate is specifically “Who generates touchdowns most often?”, then your argument strongly favors Allen

Where the Argument Is Strong

1. Touchdown production matters a lot

• Quarterbacks are ultimately judged by their ability to create points
• Allen’s combination of passing TDs and rushing TDs gives him a major edge
• He has been one of the league’s most reliable weekly scoring engines

2. Allen’s edge is not small

Over five seasons:

• Allen: 2.47 TD/G
• Mahomes: 2.05 TD/G
• Jackson: 1.88 TD/G

That means Allen is ahead by:

• +0.42 TD/G over Mahomes
• +0.59 TD/G over Jackson

Over a full season, that’s a meaningful difference.

Where the Argument Gets Weaker

1. “Most important metric” is too absolute

Touchdowns are extremely important, but they are not the only thing that defines quarterback play.

Quarterback evaluation usually also includes:

• Turnover avoidance
• Efficiency
• Situational play
• Postseason performance
• Wins
• EPA/play, passer rating, QBR, success rate
• How much the QB elevates the offense outside of TD totals

So saying “touchdowns are the most important metric” is defensible.
Saying “therefore that alone proves Allen is better than everyone” is where the logic gets weaker.

2. Allen’s TD totals include rushing value

That’s not a flaw, but it matters in framing.

If you are arguing overall quarterback value, rushing TDs absolutely count.
If someone is arguing pure passing quarterback play, they may push back and say Allen’s edge is partly from goal-line rushing usage.

3. Mahomes’ case is bigger than regular-season TD rate

Even if Allen has the stronger TD-per-game profile, Patrick Mahomes still has a very powerful case because of:

• elite passing efficiency
• playoff résumé
• late-game performance
• championship results

So if the statement is “Allen is definitively better than Mahomes”, touchdown rate alone probably is not enough to settle it.

4. Lamar’s value is broader than TD/G

Lamar Jackson brings massive value through:

• rushing gravity
• explosive-play creation
• efficiency
• stress on defenses beyond simple TD count

So Allen beating Lamar in TDs per game does not automatically end that debate either, though it does give Allen a very strong scoring-based argument.

Best Version of the Argument

A more precise and convincing version would be:

Josh Allen has been the best touchdown-producing quarterback in the NFL over the last five seasons. If scoring production is your primary measure of quarterback value, then Allen has the strongest case over both Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.

That version is strong because it says exactly what the data proves.

What the Data Does Not Fully Prove

Your data supports:

• Allen is the best TD producer of the three over the last 5 seasons
• Allen has a legitimate “best QB in football” argument

Your data does not fully prove:

• Allen is unquestionably better overall than Mahomes
• Allen is unquestionably better overall than Lamar
• touchdowns alone should decide the entire QB debate

Verdict

Final Assessment

Your statement is directionally strong, but overstated.

What is clearly supported

• Josh Allen has been the best touchdown-per-game quarterback of these three over the last five seasons
• He absolutely has a valid argument as the NFL’s top scoring QB

What is overstated

• “The most important metric in football is scoring touchdowns” is reasonable
• “Therefore Allen is definitely better than Mahomes and Lamar” is not fully proven by TD/G alone

Bottom Line

If the debate is about touchdown creation, Josh Allen wins it.
If the debate is about overall quarterback greatness, your evidence is strong but incomplete.

Allen’s touchdown production gives him a serious case, but to fully prove he is better than Mahomes or Jackson, you would want to add:

• interception rate
• total turnovers
• EPA/dropback
• passer rating
• QBR
• playoff production
• win-loss impact

Conclusion

Your argument is good, but the tighter claim is better:

Josh Allen has been the NFL’s best touchdown-producing QB over the last five seasons, and that gives him a legitimate argument over Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes — but TD rate alone does not completely settle the overall QB debate.

Best of the Three

If I had to pick one, I’d still say Patrick Mahomes is the best of Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Mahomes overall.

That said, the answer depends on what you mean by “best.” If you mean best touchdown producer, it’s Josh Allen. If you mean best all-around regular-season dual-threat force, Lamar Jackson has a case. But if you mean best total quarterback, including efficiency, consistency under pressure, late-game trust, and résumé, I’d take Mahomes.

My Ranking

1. Patrick Mahomes
2. Josh Allen
3. Lamar Jackson

Why I’d Pick Mahomes

Summary

Mahomes is the most complete answer because he combines:

• elite passing talent
• high-level efficiency
• low mistake profile relative to aggression
• postseason proof
• sustained team success
• the strongest “I trust him most in the biggest moment” factor

Allen may outscore him in touchdowns per game, and Lamar may offer more pure rushing stress, but Mahomes has the best overall quarterback case.

What Metrics I’d Use

To back up a “best QB” claim, I would not use just one stat. I’d use a stack of metrics across four buckets:

1. Production

These tell you what a QB actually generated.

• Total TDs
• TDs per game
• Passing yards
• Yards per game
• Points per drive / points per game led
• Rushing value for dual-threat QBs

2. Efficiency

These tell you how well the QB created value per play.

• EPA per dropback
• Total QBR
• Passer rating
• Completion percentage
• Success rate
• Yards per attempt
• TD rate
• INT rate

3. Ball Security / Decision Quality

These tell you how costly the QB’s mistakes are.

• Interceptions
• Turnover-worthy tendency if available
• Sack avoidance
• Fumble rate
• TD-to-turnover ratio

4. Context / Winning Impact

These help separate raw stat accumulation from true quarterback value.

• Playoff performance
• Record in high-leverage games
• Comeback / clutch performance
• Performance against top defenses
• Consistency year to year
• How much the offense depends on the QB

Why TDs Alone Aren’t Enough

Your Allen argument is good because touchdowns matter a lot. But they don’t fully settle who’s best.

Example

A QB can lead in:

• TDs per game

while another QB leads in:

• EPA per play
• turnover avoidance
• 3rd-down efficiency
• late-game performance
• playoff performance

If that happens, the “best QB” answer becomes broader than scoring rate alone.

One Useful Advanced Snapshot

For 2025 regular season EPA per dropback, here’s where two of your three landed among qualifying QBs:

What that suggests

• In 2025, Allen had the edge in EPA/dropback, completion rate, passer rating, and passing TDs.
• Mahomes had the better QBR.
• So for that season alone, I’d lean Allen over Mahomes in regular-season performance.

My Honest Distinction

If the question is:

Who was best in recent regular-season statistical production?

I’d lean Josh Allen.

If the question is:

Who is the best quarterback overall right now?

I’d still say Patrick Mahomes.

If the question is:

Who is the most dangerous dual-threat force?

You can absolutely argue Lamar Jackson.

Best Metric Set for This Debate

If you want to make the strongest possible case and avoid cherry-picking, use this group:

My Final Answer

Best overall

Patrick Mahomes

Best scoring QB

Josh Allen

Best argument to support the claim

If I were building the case rigorously, I’d use:

1. EPA per dropback
2. Total QBR
3. TDs per game
4. INT rate / turnover rate
5. Passer rating
6. Rushing value
7. Playoff performance

Bottom Line

If you want the strongest stats-only case, Allen is probably the best of the three to argue for right now because of his touchdown production and strong efficiency.

If you want the best complete quarterback case, I’d still go with Mahomes.

Clear Claim

My pick: Patrick Mahomes overall, with Josh Allen having the best scoring-based argument against him.

If you want, I can build a side-by-side 2021-2025 comparison table for Allen vs Lamar vs Mahomes using:

• efficiency
• touchdown production
• turnovers
• rushing value
• and playoff résumé

Best Overall / Most Complete QB

If I have to choose one best overall quarterback among Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson, my pick is Josh Allen.

Short Answer

Josh Allen is the most complete QB because he gives you the best blend of:

• touchdown production
• passing efficiency
• rushing value
• overall offensive burden
• week-to-week scoring pressure on defenses

Mahomes still has the best legacy/resume argument, and Lamar has a special dual-threat ceiling, but if the question is “Who is the best complete quarterback based on current performance data?” I’d take Allen.

Why Allen

The cleanest data-backed case

Among the three, Allen gives the strongest combination of:

1. Best 5-year touchdown production
2. Elite 2025 efficiency
3. Best dual-threat profile
4. Top-tier passing plus top-tier rushing scoring

That is the best “complete QB” mix.

Key Comparison Table

The Strongest Evidence for Allen

1. He is the best touchdown producer

From the numbers you already laid out:

• Allen: 2.47 TDs per game over the last 5 seasons
• Mahomes: 2.05
• Lamar: 1.88

That matters because touchdowns are the most direct form of quarterback-driven scoring output.

2. He pairs scoring with strong efficiency

In 2025:

• Allen EPA/Dropback: 0.180
• Mahomes EPA/Dropback: 0.168
• Lamar EPA/Dropback: 0.092

Allen wasn’t just piling up TDs. He was also creating value efficiently on a per-dropback basis.

3. He brings the best rushing scoring profile

Allen’s 2025 dual-threat output was elite:

• 4,224 passing yards
• 29 passing TDs
• 678 rushing yards
• 16 rushing TDs
• Dual-Threat Score: 100

That’s the definition of a complete QB: elite passing production plus elite rushing value.

4. He stresses defenses in more ways than Mahomes

Mahomes is brilliant as a passer and creator, but Allen gives you:

• deep-ball ability
• off-script creation
• goal-line rushing
• red-zone power
• designed run value
• short-yardage conversion value

He can beat you from the pocket, outside structure, and as a runner near the goal line.

Visual Snapshot

Here’s the simplest way to see the scoring argument:

Allen leads the group by a clear margin, and that scoring edge is a major part of the “best complete QB” case.

Why Not Mahomes?

Mahomes’ case is still real

If someone says Mahomes is the best overall QB, that is absolutely defensible because of:

• elite processing
• pocket management
• postseason history
• sustained high-end efficiency
• best résumé of the three

But the current-performance data leans Allen

In the 2025 comparison data here, Allen was better than Mahomes in:

• EPA/dropback
• completion percentage
• passing TDs
• passer rating
• rushing production
• touchdown creation overall

Mahomes only clearly leads Allen here in:

• Total QBR
• résumé / career legacy, which is not the same as current complete-QB form

So if we are answering best overall right now based on performance, the stronger case is Allen.

Why Not Lamar?

Lamar’s strengths

Lamar Jackson is still one of the most uniquely dangerous players in football because of:

• explosive rushing gravity
• playmaking in space
• defensive stress
• high-end efficiency flashes

Why I’d still put Allen ahead

Allen’s advantage is that he gives you more total scoring production while still remaining a high-end passer.

In the data here:

• Allen beats Lamar in 5-year TD rate
• Allen beats Lamar in 2025 EPA/dropback
• Allen beats Lamar in 2025 completion percentage
• Allen beats Lamar in 2025 passing TDs
• Allen has the strongest documented dual-threat scoring output in the returned data

Lamar had the better 2025 INT total and slightly better 2025 passer rating, but Allen’s overall volume + scoring + rushing TD dominance gives him the fuller package.

The Metrics I’d Use to Back This Up

To defend “best complete QB,” I’d use these:

Core Metrics

• EPA per Dropback
• Total QBR
• Touchdowns per Game
• Passing TDs
• Interceptions
• Completion Percentage
• Passer Rating

Completeness Metrics

• Rushing Yards
• Rushing TDs
• Dual-threat scoring
• Total fantasy/total touchdown production proxy
• Goal-line / red-zone rushing impact

Why these matter

A “complete QB” should:

• create explosive value efficiently
• score often
• protect the ball well enough
• add something as a runner
• force defenses to defend every inch of the field

Allen checks the most boxes at the highest level.

Final Verdict

My Pick

Josh Allen is the best overall, most complete quarterback of the three.

Best supporting data

• Highest 5-year TDs per game: 2.47
• Best 2025 dual-threat profile: 4,224 pass yards, 29 pass TD, 678 rush yards, 16 rush TD
• Best 2025 dual-threat score: 100
• Better 2025 EPA/dropback than Mahomes and Lamar
• Better 2025 completion percentage than Mahomes and Lamar
• More total scoring pressure on defenses than either

Bottom Line

If the question is greatest résumé, you can argue Mahomes.

If the question is most complete quarterback based on current data-backed on-field impact, my answer is Josh Allen.